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The airline also halved its profit forecast to $0.30 to $0.50 per share. American Airlines is projecting flat revenues this quarter, a sizable downgrade from its prior estimate of up to 5% growth. It raised its loss forecast to between 60 cents and 80 cents a share.

Deloitte expects retail sales to grow 3.1% this year: That鈥檚 slightly ahead of our 2.9% forecast, but those projections could go askew in several ways.

Beyond traditional ecommerce, the retailer sees GameChanger, its profitable SaaS platform for youth sports, and the Dick鈥檚 Media Network as key long-term growth drivers. The retailer says that while it is still early days for its retail media efforts, results have been promising.

On today鈥檚 podcast episode, we discuss why Netflix viewers are spending less time on the platform, how the free ad-supported streaming players are getting on, and how a less discussed social platform has fast become one of the places Americans spend most of their social media time. Tune in to the episode with Senior Director of Podcasts and host Marcus Johnson, Principal Forecasting Writer Ethan Cramer-Flood, Senior Forecasting Analyst Zach Goldner, and Senior Director of Forecasting, Oscar Orozco. Listen everywhere and watch on YouTube and Spotify.

Best Buy had forecast those sales would be flat to down 3%. In the US, Q4 comparable sales rose 0.2% YoY. Our take: While uncertainty looms over many retailers' forecasts this year, Best Buy is especially vulnerable to shifting macroeconomic conditions. Tariffs and a broader consumer pullback on discretionary spending pose significant challenges for the computer and consumer electronics sector.

BNPL will count more than 100 million users by 2027. Its high-growth days are in the past, with both the number of BNPL users and overall payment value decelerating. But it remains an important financing tool for consumers and has a long runway ahead: BNPL payment value will account for just 1.4% of overall retail sales in 2025, per our forecast.

Gen Z is the first mobile payments-native generation. By 2028, 67.8% of US adults will be mobile wallet users, per our forecast. Gen Zers are already way ahead: 85.1% made an in-store or online payment using their phone in 2023, according to Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta.