蘑菇AV

This year, mobile commerce has not only broken records, but also continued to solidify itself as a driving force behind ecommerce growth. More than two-thirds (67.4%) of the US population will be mcommerce buyers this year, spending $534.8 billion on their mobile devices, per our July 2024 forecast. Here are five key stats that underscore the expanding mcommerce opportunity, plus ways for brands and retailers to capitalize.

The economy is trending in a positive direction: US consumer prices rose in December by less than forecast. We expect the Fed will stick with a wait-and-see approach.

US ecommerce sales rose 8.7% YoY to a record $241.1 billion, per Adobe鈥攏ot far off our projection of 9.0% ecommerce growth. Total holiday retail sales between November 1 and December 24 increased 3.8% YoY, per Mastercard SpendingPulse data. Excluding autos, in-store sales rose 2.9% YoY, compared with a more robust 6.7% jump in ecommerce sales. We expected holiday sales to grow 4.3% last year.

US ad spend on financial media networks (FMNs) will more than double in 2025 and again in 2026. But with just $710 million projected in US ad spend in 2025, per June 2024 蘑菇AV forecast, FMN ad spend will be 18 times smaller than retail media network (RMN) ad spend.

Netflix and YouTube are siphoning subscription revenues from pay TV鈥檚 losses. By the end of 2025, more than half of US video subscription revenues will go to streaming services.

Online returns growth will outpace overall ecommerce growth through 2028, driving retailers to update their strategies and solutions to manage costs.

This year, US holiday sales will reach a record $1.353 trillion, per our July 2024 forecast. That holiday season is starting earlier and earlier, which means marketers need to be prepared now for shopping to pick up in September and October. The election and consumer concerns about the economy will complicate where advertisers reach consumers and what messaging they use. Here are five stats marketers should see as they prep their holiday campaigns.

Cosmetics and beauty make up a nearly $100 billion industry in the US, and next year more than one-fifth of those sales will come from ecommerce, according to our forecasts. In order to win over beauty shoppers, and Gen Z ones in particular, brands need to pay close attention to where their digital ad dollars go. Here are five charts to help you out.

Retail media ad spending in the US will reach almost $55 billion in 2024, as advertisers鈥� focus on off-site spending intensifies.

Over 80% of ad spending in the US for technology and electronics (87.1%), retail (82.9%), and consumer packaged goods (80.2%) is directed toward digital media, according to 蘑菇AV鈥檚 August 2024 forecast.

Albertsons looks ahead: With the proposed Kroger merger in the rearview mirror, the grocer raised its annual profit forecast and mapped out its growth plans.

US ecommerce back-to-school and holiday growth trends are usually pretty similar, but this year, growth will diverge. US ecommerce back-to-school and holiday spending growth were within 1 percentage point of each other in both 2020 and 2021, and closer to 4 percentage points apart in 2022, during a holiday season impacted by inflation, supply chain issues, and geopolitical concerns. This year, we forecast a US back-to-school ecommerce growth rate of 1.5%, slower than our forecast 11.3% holiday retail ecommerce growth.

B2B ecommerce site sales increased 10.5% YoY in 2024, reaching $2.297 trillion.

Amazon sits at the top of US ecommerce, accounting for 37.6% of sales this year, according to our forecast. In addition to generating billions of dollars in sales, Amazon鈥檚 ecommerce business propels its other ventures, including retail media and B2B ecommerce. By harnessing the power of generative AI, Amazon could leave its retail competition even further in the dust, and possibly catch up to the Google and Meta duopoly.

This year, furniture and home furnishings will make up a $179.75 billion ecommerce market in the US, according to our forecast, and growth is accelerating. With challenges coming from big names like Amazon and Walmart and resale platforms like Facebook Marketplace and Craigslist, Ikea has no choice but to innovate to keep up.

TikTok is rolling out its Shop feature to all 100 million US users (per our May forecast), using a tab on the home screen to drive users to the marketplace and allowing videos directly containing purchase links, in order to drive in-app ecommerce traffic.

More consumers are shopping online for household essentials, including food and beverages and health, personal care, and beauty products. The two categories are expected to see the most growth in their share of ecommerce sales from now until the end of our forecast period in 2028. Here鈥檚 a closer look at the state of US ecommerce, why household goods are fueling the market, and the consumer behavior steering it all.

Two-thirds of US smartphone users will use shopping/retail apps by 2025, according to our forecast. As the competition for consumer dollars heats up, mobile apps can help retailers reach a more engaged audience and enable a more omnichannel shopping experience.

TikTok sister app Douyin is a livestream behemoth in China, where nearly 40% of internet users also engage in livestream shopping, according to our forecast. But in the US, the format hasn鈥檛 caught on in the same way.