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US ecommerce marketplaces will account for $384.57 billion in sales this year, a growth of 10.2% over 2022, according to our forecast. That growth will accelerate through the end of our forecast period in 2027, at which point sales will surpass $600 billion. 鈥淎mazon has really written the playbook for operating a successful marketplace in the 鲍厂,鈥� said our analyst Sky Canaves. Here鈥檚 a closer look at how the three biggest US ecommerce marketplaces stack up.

Despite the rise of ecommerce, nearly 85% of US retail sales still occur in-store, according to our forecast. To attract customers to physical stores, brands must continually innovate to offer memorable experiences.

Next year, ecommerce will make up 75% of total US resale volume and reach $90 billion, according to our forecast. US resale is also growing faster than overall retail sales, and retailers want in on the market. Whether you鈥檙e launching a resale program or examining the opportunity, here are five charts to help.

Despite bankruptcy rumors, Carvana will be the fastest-growing retail ecommerce company in the US both this year and next year, according to our forecast. In second place this year is Chewy, signaling the strength of category-focused retailers.

Shoppers are relying on their smartphones more, as enhancements in mobile payments, social media checkout, and retailer apps make purchases easier than ever. This year, US shoppers will spend $558.29 billion on their mobile devices, accounting for 44.6% of overall ecommerce sales, according to our November 2023 forecast. We delve into the consumer embrace of mcommerce, unpacking three key drivers.

US ecommerce resale volume will hit $80.60 billion this year, a growth of 3.4% YoY, per our December 2023 forecast.

On today's episode, we discuss a milestone for digital video, why TV lovers still love their TVs, and the relationship between digital audio and social networking. "In Other News," we talk about how many US shoppers use their phones to pay for things at the register and how many generative AI users there are in the US. Tune in to the discussion with our forecasting writer Ethan Cramer-Flood.

By 2026, US spending on ecommerce channel ads鈥攁 large subset of retail media鈥攚ill be more than triple its 2020 level, per our forecast. Within the ecommerce channel, both search and display advertising are growing rapidly.

As consumers look for quick and convenient ways to shop, the number of click-and-collect buyers in the US will rise to 150.9 million in 2024, representing 53.1% of the population, per our December 2022 forecast.

his year, US holiday retail sales growth will align more closely with rates seen pre-pandemic, with ecommerce returning to double-digit growth at 11.3% YoY, according to our June forecast.

This year, US retail returns volume will reach $627.34 billion, representing 8.5% of all retail sales, according to our forecast. After surging in 2020 and 2021 (due to the pandemic ecommerce boom and stimulus-driven boost in consumer spending), growth normalized last year and will continue to slow through 2024.

US ecommerce sales will grow 9.3% to reach $1.137 trillion in 2023, per our forecast, thanks to cost-conscious consumers looking for better deals and an increasing number of digital grocery buyers. As 2023 wraps up, ecommerce will go out on a high note, with online holiday sales growth outpacing brick-and-mortar sales.

On today's podcast episode, we discuss what to make of Google turning 25 years old, how US shoppers feel about stores, why tiered rewards are all the rage, how Hispanic people think their values are reflected by advertisers and Americans, taxi drivers turning into robots, some mind-bending facts about US geography, and more. Tune in to the discussion with our forecasting writer Ethan Cramer-Flood, forecasting analyst Zach Goldner, and director of forecasting Oscar Orozco.

This year, we forecast US off-premise alcohol retail sales (i.e., alcohol purchased for at-home consumption) will grow by a modest 3.5% to $178.20 billion. This growth will accelerate slightly through 2027, driven by three areas of opportunity within the industry: ecommerce, customers willing to splurge on premium beverages, and at-home consumption trends.

The US online resale market is back on the rise this year, following a 6.6% decrease in 2022, according to our forecast. The trend shows no signs of slowing down over the next few years, with ecommerce resale volume surpassing $100 billion in 2026.

On today's episode, we discuss when people are most likely to boycott a brand, whether folks will shop elsewhere if they are charged for returns, where the NBA will live next season, if an ad-supported tier for Amazon Prime Video will work, how much vacation time people take in the US versus other countries, and more. Tune in to the discussion with our forecasting writer Ethan Cramer-Flood and analysts Ross Benes and Paul Verna.

Walmart dominated the US retail landscape in 2024: The mass merchant鈥檚 ability to offer savings and convenience won over shoppers, and its growing ecommerce and advertising businesses are helping it make inroads against Amazon.

CTV display ad spending will reach $33.35 billion in 2025, with 98.4% of those dollars going to video ads. Total CTV ad spending will see solid double-digit annual growth rates through our forecast period to reach $46.89 billion in 2028.

US buy now, pay later (BNPL) user growth is slowing, plummeting from 97.0% in 2021 to just 4.1% in 2028, according to our forecast.

Snap is having trouble monetizing because Snapchat is primarily a chat platform, and 鈥渕essaging apps are notoriously difficult to monetize,鈥� according to our analyst Jasmine Enberg. The company could lean into its software as a service retail offerings, but consumers also aren鈥檛 sold on AR for shopping. Just 12.4% of US adults use AR for shopping, according to our forecast.

Delivery is a critical component of ecommerce fulfillment, but accessing this opportunity requires brands and retailers to navigate a complex set of options and find ways to meet rising consumer expectations.

US omnichannel retail media ad spending grew 20.4% this year to $52.3 billion, per our forecast, making it the fastest-growing ad channel. But rapid growth comes with growing pains鈥攁s retail media networks (RMNs) not named Amazon or Walmart discovered this year.