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Time spent with connected TV (CTV) by US adults will be within 1 hour of linear next year, at 2 hours and 3 minutes (2:03) and 2:48 per day, respectively, according to our June forecast. CTV usage is outpacing ad spend on most platforms, but spend is growing rapidly as Netflix, Disney+, Max, and Amazon Prime Video push more viewers toward ad-supported tiers. As the CTV ad floodgates open, advertisers need to make sure they鈥檙e maximizing ad value by thinking of CTV differently, experts suggested at last week鈥檚 Advertising Week New York.

Retail media will stay ahead of connected TV (CTV) in US ad spending and close in on traditional TV this year, according to our forecast. Search overall, including paid search on retail media networks, will reach $108.48 billion in 2023.

Total media ad spending in the US will pass the $350 billion mark this year, but growth is slow at just 3.8%, according to our forecast. 鈥淭hat is not great compared to almost anything in recent memory; however, there is a U-shape to this line,鈥� our analyst Ethan Cramer-Flood said during our 鈥淯厂 Digital Ad Spend Outlook鈥� webinar. Connected TV and retail media will prove to be bright spots, but social media could be a challenge.

Connected TV (CTV) ad spend in the US will pass $25 billion this year and continue to grow by double digits through the end of our forecast period in 2027. Even with a challenging market, the format is in decent shape.

56% of US adults think ad breaks on free-ad supported streaming TV (FAST) services should be under 30 seconds, according to an August 2023 ViewNexa survey.

Connected TV (CTV) ad spend will exceed $30 billion in the US next year, according to our forecast. At a growth rate of 22.4% YoY, that makes CTV one of the fastest-growing ad formats we track. But where those ad dollars are coming from isn鈥檛 so simple.

In the US, 77% of TV-owning households had a smart TV as of Q1 2023, according to Hub Research. Connected TVs, which include smart TVs, streaming sticks, and other devices, will be used in 115.1 million households next year, more than double the number of traditional pay TV households, according to our forecast.

Consumers鈥� appetite for quality, on-demand content has contributed to connected TV鈥檚 (CTV鈥檚) stronghold as the fastest-growing major ad format in the US. 鈥淭here鈥檚 a lot more for [advertisers] to weed through in terms of the opportunities and options of where to place our clients鈥� ad dollars,鈥� Jennifer Kohl, executive director and head of US media at VMLY&R, said of CTV during our virtual 鈥淎ttention!鈥� summit last week.

Ad-supported video-on-demand (AVOD) viewing will reach more than half of the US population in 2026, up from 41.8% this year, per our forecast.

There鈥檚 no stopping the retail media juggernaut. At $45.05 billion in US spending in 2023, it鈥檚 already far ahead of connected TV and closing in on traditional TV.

We forecast US advertisers will spend a combined $86.40 billion on linear and connected TV (CTV) this year鈥攊n other words, about 1 in 4 ad dollars will go to ads on the TV glass. But as linear TV ad spending stagnates, networks are incentivized to prove the reach and efficacy of their digital properties.

The majority (65%) of US consumers say that two or three ad breaks per 1 hour of free ad-supported streaming TV (FAST) are acceptable, according to a ViewNexa survey.

US adults spend nearly 3 hours a day watching linear TV and nearly two hours watching connected TV, according to our forecast. Viewers are moving to CTV, and so are advertisers. Learn how to cash in on this seismic shift during our free webinar on July 12. Sign up here.

This year, time spent with digital video will officially surpass time spent with TV among US adults. Video advertising is also moving toward digital as advertisers set their sights on connected TV and social video, and even take advantage of retail media networks鈥� video opportunity. Whether you鈥檙e pitching a video ad campaign or reevaluating a tight ad budget, here are five charts that will help with the how, what, where, when, and why of video advertising. Whether you鈥檙e pitching a video ad campaign or reevaluating a tight ad budget, here are five charts that will help with the how, what, where, when, and why of video advertising.

Retail media has matured greatly since our 5 retail media networks (RMNs) worth watching. That evolution has come from growth in spend (we forecast US omnichannel retail media ad spend growth at 26.0% this year, with larger increases in off-site and connected TV), in-store innovations, and new entrants from other non-retailers.

There will be 71.9 million US pay TV households this year, per our forecast, falling to 69.3 million in 2025 and 62.6 million by 2028. That decline is why DirecTV has called this conflict an 鈥渆xistential鈥� one鈥攊t will solidify the lines of power in the rapidly changing industry.

The minimum sample size per quarter, per country is 1,250; bigger markets have larger quarterly sample sizes, with the maximum being 25,000 in China and the US. Respondents can only participate in GWI鈥檚 research once per year. The survey is designed to cover attitudes, perceptions and actual behaviors.

For the first time, US adults will spend more time per day with digital video than with TV this year, according to our forecast, as the cord-cutting revolution takes hold. Total time spent with digital video and TV will remain just over 6 hours per day, the same amount it鈥檚 been since 2020.

In part one of this two-part podcast episode, we discuss some predictions for 2024 that are too specific to be 100% certain about but could still come true, including: which subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) platform Apple will likely buy, where metaverse playgrounds will spring up, and what the ruling between Google and the US Department of Justice will be. Tune in to the discussion with our vice presidents of content Suzy Davidkhanian and Paul Verna and analyst Max Willens.

In July and August, the US ad market saw its first consecutive two months of growth in over a year, according to Standard Media鈥檚 US Ad Market Tracker. Platforms are focused on keeping that momentum alive with several updates. Multiple platforms are boasting improved AI targeting and enhanced connected TV ad solutions. Here is everything new in September.