蘑菇AV

The situation: Several recent macroeconomic indicators point to a tough and increasingly uncertain economic environment. Our take: Uncertainty has cast a long shadow over the retail industry all year鈥攁nd clearer skies aren鈥檛 on the horizon. Retailers trying to weather the economic storm must focus on delivering compelling value to cost-conscious consumers. That means leaning into what makes their brand stand out, whether it鈥檚 quality, service, loyalty perks, or meaningful innovation. With nearly a quarter of shoppers adjusting their budgets as they tighten their purse strings鈥攁nd retail sales expected to rise just 1.5% YoY this year鈥攄ifferentiation is more important than ever.

63% of millennials and 61% of Gen Zers feel more connected to health brands since starting GLP-1s, per a January Dentsu report.

On today鈥檚 podcast episode, we discuss our 鈥榲ery specific, but highly unlikely鈥� predictions for 2025. What would happen if Google preemptively broke itself into smaller pieces, if online shopping flatlined, and if the audio ad space doubled in size in short order. Join Senior Director of Podcasts and host Marcus Johnson, Director of Reports Editing Rahul Chadha, and Senior Analysts Blake Droesch and Max Willens. Listen everywhere and watch on YouTube and Spotify.

The tests: In an effort to regain momentum, Target is piloting several initiatives aimed at boosting sales and protecting its margins. Our take: Target isn鈥檛 standing still amid its challenges鈥攂ut it isn鈥檛 clear if its latest moves will resonate with consumers. It鈥檚 encouraging to see Target establish an 鈥渁cceleration office鈥� to push innovation forward. But with consumer budgets under strain, finding the right formula won鈥檛 be easy鈥攅specially given the stiff competition it faces from Amazon, Walmart, and others.

The trend: Food manufacturers are pledging to remove artificial dyes from their products amid pressure from US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement. Kraft Heinz said it would phase out artificial coloring in products sold in the US by 2027. General Mills quickly followed, announcing that it would eliminate artificial dyes across its full US portfolio by 2027, and remove them from all cereals and foods served in K-12 schools by next summer. Both Nestl茅 and Conagra are joining the party. Nestl茅 pledged to 鈥渇ully eliminate [food, drug, and cosmetic dye] colors in its US food and beverage portfolio by mid-2026,鈥� and Conagra will stop using such dyes in its frozen foods by year-end, and in all products by the end of 2027. Our take: For most companies, removing artificial dyes from their product lineups is a fairly easy lift, as many have already done so in Europe. It鈥檚 also increasingly a necessary move to prevent private labels from encroaching further on their turf, as more retailers launch 鈥渇ree from鈥� lines and pledge to remove ingredients like aspartame and high-fructose corn syrup from their store brands.

The news: As the 2025 economy tightens under the pressure of tariffs, AI disruption, and shifting global trade policy, brands are embracing adaptability. Retail growth forecasts have been slashed, inflation-wary consumers are scaling back, and even luxury sentiment is weakening. Our take: Resilient brands are leaning into agile planning, reallocating media spend to ROI-focused channels like search and digital out-of-home, and anchoring value in trust and quality鈥攏ot just price. As emotional volatility shapes consumer decisions, marketers who show relevance and reassurance will lead. The brands that win won鈥檛 wait for stability鈥攖hey鈥檒l build strategies that succeed amid constant change.

The trend: Most healthcare and pharma marketers plan to increase their CTV/over-the-top (OTT) spending in the next year, according to Nielsen鈥檚 Global Annual Marketing Survey. Our take: CTV鈥檚 gain of healthcare and pharma ad dollars isn鈥檛 necessarily linear TV鈥檚 loss. Campaign strategies for linear should focus on brand awareness, while CTV allows drug ads to be highly targeted.

The upshot: The first meeting of a new and controversial CDC vaccine advisory panel signaled its intent to focus on childhood immunizations. The panel may change childhood vaccination approvals and scheduling. Our take: Pharma vaccine makers can鈥檛 stay quiet for much longer and can take a page from the medical associations by messaging to consumers and parents that they stand by their products.

The news: Novo Nordisk is partnering with WeightWatchers to offer discounted Wegovy to cash-pay customers. Our take: WeightWatchers is recognizing that diet culture is being replaced by weight loss medications accessible via virtual care. To stand out from other Novo鈥檚 other telehealth partners, WeightWatchers should lean into marketing that positions the company as a pioneer weight loss brand that鈥檚 now meeting consumer demand for GLP-1s.

The news: Consumers who are more familiar with AI are also more likely to mistrust an AI-assisted diagnosis from their doctor, per a recently published Journal of Medical Internet Research survey. Our take: Physicians and healthcare marketers can鈥檛 assume people who are familiar with AI will be more comfortable with AI uses in healthcare. Marketers need to talk about AI as a tool with many positive effects like freeing doctors for longer personal interactions and resulting in fewer mistakes.

The news: Instagram and TikTok are working on plans to develop connected TV (CTV) apps to mimic the success of YouTube鈥檚 big-screen push, per The Information. Our take: Advertisers may be hesitant to spend on placements before user adoption is proven. TikTok and Meta should prepare for initial losses and, to ensure a robust content pipeline for TV, introduce new simple editing tools or financial incentives to help creators optimize vertical posts for the horizontal big screen.

The news: YouTube launched an AI search function that could streamline the content discovery journey but pose problems for smaller creators and influencers. The feature gives users a carousel of relevant videos in response to their search queries, similar to Google鈥檚 AI Overviews. Our take: With YouTube鈥檚 vast content library, AI search could help users find relevant content faster, though opacity around how its algorithm surfaces videos means creators may need to experiment with keywords and video titles to see which strategies get their content placed in AI video carousels.

The news: In a bid to push deeper into creative ad tools, Meta is in talks to acquire Play AI, a voice cloning startup, per Bloomberg. According to sources, Meta is interested in the startup鈥檚 tech and key staff and is looking to integrate its voice features into customer service and content creation applications. Key takeaway: Creators and brands should treat AI voice tools as a way to enhance, not replace, creative work. They should use voice tools judiciously for fast testing or global reach. The goal isn鈥檛 to mimic people鈥攊t鈥檚 to scale content responsibly.

The trend: Global visits to the top 100 web domains fell nearly 7% from March 2022 to March 2025, per Semrush, with Google鈥檚 own traffic down 6.4%, according to Similarweb as cited by DataReportal. Our take: Search is no longer a neutral traffic driver. Marketers need to plan for a world where clicks don鈥檛 come easy and genAI responses, not blue links, dictate traffic and visibility. GEO strategies must ensure brands are surfaced in genAI outputs. Marketers should focus on first-party data, brand-owned channels, and social, especially since platforms like TikTok, Reddit, and YouTube are increasingly becoming primary search paths for younger users.

The news: Credit card issuers can cement top-of-wallet status by personalization and perks, especially for millennials and Gen Zers, per a PYMNTS Intelligence and i2c joint report. Our take: To meet young consumers鈥� needs, issuers need to play up the non-rewards features that cardholders crave鈥攈igher credit limits coupled with tools to help cardholders make smart spending decisions.

The news: Affirm partnered with Shopmonkey and Xsolla so auto mechanics and video game developers can offer installment plans at checkout. Our take: Affirm has focused on building out its partnership network and the Affirm Card鈥攁nd its fiscal Q3 results (ended March 31, 2025) bear out the strategies鈥� success, with total revenues increasing 36% YoY.

The news: PayPal users can get 20% cash back on their Taco Bell orders if they check out with PayPal or Venmo in-app or online, per a press release. Our take: For Taco Bell enthusiasts, 20% cash back every week may be too good of an offer to refuse.

LGBTQ+ consumers are a rapidly growing, influential segment, with expectations for brand authenticity, year-round inclusion, and genuine support. We explore their values and media behaviors as well as strategies for marketers to meaningfully engage.

The news: The P&C insurance industry posted a 96.6 combined ratio in 2024鈥攊ts best in 10+ years鈥攄espite natural disaster losses. Major reserve boosts, surging premium growth, and smart underwriting (especially in personal auto and homeowners) drove this performance. GenAI adoption further enhanced claims processing and fraud detection. Strategic exits from high-risk areas also curbed losses. Our take: P&C insurers must double down on AI, automation, and risk analytics to sustain profitability amid growing climate volatility and economic headwinds. Innovation in underwriting and pricing, paired with disciplined risk management, will be key to staying resilient in an increasingly unpredictable risk environment.

The news: Despite lower COVID-19 mortality rates, it remains the 10th leading cause of death in the U.S. Lingering health impacts鈥攍ike long COVID, delayed diagnoses, and worsening chronic conditions鈥攃ontinue to threaten life insurers鈥� claims experience and profitability. Pre-pandemic underwriting likely underestimated these risks. Our take: Life insurers must recalibrate actuarial and pricing models to account for persistent COVID-19 health risks. Incorporating new medical and mortality data into term life and other products will ensure premiums align with post-pandemic realities, protect margins, and improve risk modeling accuracy in an evolving health landscape.

The news: Banks shouldn't use a single marketing strategy for all young people鈥擬illennials (born 1981-1996) and Gen Z (born 1997-2012) have distinct financial behaviors. Millennials, shaped by economic uncertainty, seek stability and pragmatic digital tools, valuing expert advice. Gen Z, digital natives, demand effortless speed, are influencer-driven, and focus on immediate experiences, often skeptical of traditional banks. Our take: Marketing must be tailored. For millennials, emphasize trust, reliability, and security for long-term goals, offering expert education. For Gen Z, highlight speed, flexibility, and convenience through engaging, short-form content on platforms like TikTok, utilizing influencers to build rapport.

The news: A superior digital interface directly correlates with customer care, boosting recommendations and loyalty. Personalized digital engagement, where banks anticipate Gen Z's needs and provide relevant recommendations, also builds trust. Our take: To combat Gen Z's distrust, banks must prioritize brand authenticity and enhance the digital experience. Banks should invest in seamless onboarding, intuitive mobile apps, and relevant personalized recommendations. Failure to do so means digital competitors will continue to capture this emerging generation of wealth builders by operationalizing care through design and data-driven personalization.

The news: China is outpacing the US in retail media鈥檚 global rise, with nearly half of its digital ad spending now flowing through retail platforms. While Amazon still leads globally, its growth is slowing鈥攅xpected to rise just 18.6% in 2025. Meanwhile, players like Uber Eats, Meijer, and Albertsons are growing ad revenues at triple-digit rates. Our take: Retail media is becoming more fragmented and competitive. Success now requires portfolio diversification, especially as new channels鈥攍ike last-mile delivery and in-store signage鈥攇ain momentum. What began as an Amazon-centric, US-led trend is now a worldwide shift reshaping how consumers discover, consider, and buy.

The news: Influencer marketing spending is increasing steadily in the US and worldwide, representing a key area of growth as audiences turn to the creators they trust for purchase decisions. In a conversation with EMARKTER, Arthur Leopold, head of the creator content ad platform Agentio, discussed why audiences are turning to influencers, how technology is changing the game, and where influencer marketing is heading. Our take: Influencer marketing continues to be a core focus for advertisers in a consumer landscape dominated by social media鈥攂ut as more brands invest in influencers, advertisers need to keep key considerations in mind.

The news: Higgsfield鈥檚 Soul is the latest AI-powered image- and video-generation service that鈥檚 fine-tuned for 鈥渇ashion-grade realism,鈥� making the output resemble professional photos and videos without the plasticky, overprocessed feel of typical AI visuals. Our take: For less than $10 a month, freelancers and marketing teams can now fast-track campaign proposals and client pitches with high-quality visuals. As AI tools become more accessible, the advantage goes to creatives who learn to shape them strategically鈥攖hose are the ones who鈥檒l win the big contracts. Marketers should treat tools like Soul it as an accelerant, not a replacement. Use it to prototype fast, align on visual direction, and cut production waste.