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Retail & Ecommerce

The news: Stripe is developing a blockchain called Tempo with crypto venture capitalist Paradigm, per an exclusive from Fortune. Our take: Even after the completion of its ecosystem, Stripe still faces steep competition with a crowd of existing public and private blockchain networks.

The news: The American Bankers Association, the Bank Policy Institute, and Consumer Bankers Association defended their decisions to charge fees to fintechs in a letter responding to the Financial Technology Association’s recent plea to protect Section 1033. Our take: Banks are in lock-step marching toward undoing Section 1033. As competing trade groups make appeals to President Donald Trump—whose own family has expressed support for the open banking rule—fintechs need to prepare for a post-1033 world.

US retail sales advanced in July as consumers took advantage of major sales events. However, signs are emerging that consumers are becoming more pessimistic as inflation expectations rise. With pressure from rising food prices, higher housing costs, and uncertainty about higher tariffs, consumers remain cost-conscious—and are wary about what’s ahead. Still, it’s clear that they’re willing to spend when they see clear value, providing a roadmap for retailers to capture sales.

Three in four US online shoppers consider fast delivery to be important, per a YouGov survey. Just 8% believe it to be unimportant. Thanks to Amazon Prime and similar offerings, consumers have come to expect free and fast shipping. But if forced to pick between the two, shoppers will accept slower delivery speeds if it means no extra cost. That’s good news for brands that can’t afford to compete with the likes of Amazon and Walmart on speed.

More than a dozen food manufacturers have pledged to remove artificial dyes from their products in response to pressure from US Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement. The shift from artificial dyes underscores the increased sway of public health advocates and consumer demand for cleaner labels—even in the absence of conclusive science. It puts food manufacturers in a tough spot: They are under pressure to reformulate without compromising appearance or taste, all while facing steep costs and limited upside for benefits that may be more symbolic than nutritional.

In this podcast episode, we discuss the difference between a real miss vs. sparking conversation, if there is such a thing as bad press, and what brands should do once a campaign doesn’t land. Listen to the discussion with Vice President of Content and guest host, Suzy Davidkhanian, Principal Analyst, Sky Canaves, and Analyst, Arielle Feger.

Retailers are stretching traditional holiday shopping periods into longer seasons and creating new shopping moments throughout the year, as consumers become more strategic about their spending and retailers seek to drive consistent traffic.

Roughly two-thirds (64%) of Gen Z consumers have cut spending in the past year due to higher living costs, according to an April Ipsos survey for Bank of America.Uncertainty is beginning to shape Gen Z’s purchasing decisions. Brands will need to work harder to earn their dollars—possibly by appealing to the generation’s tendency to shop for emotional relief.

Brinker International and Cava Group posted diverging quarterly results, showing the split fortunes in the restaurant industry as consumers eat at home more often and become pickier about where they spend. In the current environment of economic pressure and home-shifted dining, restaurants can stand out from the crowd by making their value clear to cost-conscious consumers. Here’s how underperforming dining chains can improve: Offer value, not just lower prices. Deals like Chili’s “3 for Me” are easy to understand and come across as a genuine bargain. Try limited-time promotions for new items, or lean on nostalgia by resurrecting discontinued items. Invest in operational excellence. Well-trained staff and hospitality can encourage deal seekers to return.

The news: OpenAI’s GPT-5 could be the start of ChatGPT becoming a transaction-driven super app that monetizes user intent, not attention. GPT-5’s router—which analyzes queries and decides how hard to “think” based on complexity—lets OpenAI invest more resources during high-intent moments like “compare hiking boots under $200” or “best smart TVs for co-op gaming.” Prioritizing queries with high commercial value could help OpenAI monetize users not through ads but via affiliate or take-rate revenues, per SemiAnalysis. Partnerships with Shopify and others suggest that monetization stack is already on the way. Our take: A full-service ChatGPT that’s intuitive enough to guide full shopping journeys inside a chatbot while keeping backend costs minimal could rewrite the AI platform’s business model. Brands should be working to optimize for AI-native commerce and integrate with agentic tools.

In today’s episode, ​we talk about the promise and challenges financial media networks face in the burgeoning commerce media network landscape.​ Join the discussion with host and Head of Business Development Rob Rubin, ​Principal Analyst Sarah Marzano, and Senior Analyst Max Willens.

The news: Circle reported $658 million in total revenues and reserve income in its first quarterly earnings as a public company, amounting to 53% growth YoY. USDC in circulation also jumped 90% YoY to 61.3 billion by the end of the quarter. Net losses hit $482 million, which largely accounted for IPO-related non-cash charges totalling $591 million. Our take: Circle’s early mover status and the newly passed GENIUS Act are working in the stablecoin issuer’s favor. Circle anticipates a 40% annual compound growth rate for USDC. If it can establish the most efficient and easy-to-use infrastructure for the nascent stablecoin industry, it can garner lasting loyalty from financial institutions.

A key inflation gauge that excludes food and energy prices picked up in July, suggesting tariff-related cost increases are being passed along to consumers. Core CPI, which strips out energy and food, rose 3.1% YoY, up from 2.9% in June. On a monthly basis, that closely watched measure rose 0.3%, the highest increase since January and up from June’s 0.2% advance. Retailers and producers are exhausting their early strategies to shield consumers and will need to plan for sustained cost pressures. Some strategies retailers can take on include negotiating with suppliers on cost-cutting measures or the use of lower-cost materials, exploring investments in onshoring production to avoid tariffs, and increasing D2C sales in a bid to improve profit margins.

Swiss footwear company On posted raised its full-year sales and gross margin outlook, citing broad-based geographical strength as Gen Z consumers scoop up its premium-priced athletic shoes.

Some students have already started their school year, but the back-to-school shopping season is far from over. In fact, over a third (34%) of families begin their back-to-school shopping in August, according to recent data from ad platform gumgum.

For advertisers, the increasing fragmentation within the search landscape can be quite frustrating and challenging. “But for consumers it feels like ease and convenience," said our analyst Sarah Marzano on a recent episode of "Behind the Numbers." "We're able to conduct product searches wherever we're spending time and go on a journey that's tailored to the mindset we're in."

Over half (56%) of US adults commonly purchase private label grocery/food and beverage products, the most popular category of private label purchased, according to April 2025 data from First Insight.

The news: Block’s gross profit rose to $2.54 billion, an increase of 14% YoY. Cash App’s gross profit grew 16% YoY Square’s gross profit increased 11% YoY Developments like Cash App Afterpay are gradually drawing the distinct Cash App and Square ecosystems into a robust dual-sided network. However, the Cash App’s enduring lack of a credit card makes it harder for Block to sell itself as the one-stop shop for young people’s financial needs.

The news: Empower rebranded the Petal portfolio into Tilt, a trio of cards aimed at credit builders. WebBank will remain the issuer for the cards. Our take: Alternative lenders like Tilt do help individuals start or rebuild their history of creditworthiness. However, Tilt may come into a profitability—or even operational—problem after JPMorgan Chase said it would revoke fintechs’ free access to consumer financial information.

The news: American Express renewed its partnerships with AEG, expanding Amex’s rewards reach over venues, festivals, tours, ticketing, and sports. Our take: Amex’s dedication to building the breadth and depth of its luxury offerings allows it to maintain its premium branding against competitors like the Chase Sapphire Reserve’s offerings like Chase Experiences